Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Tainted Lunch Meat : very important
Le Metropole Cafe Article Excerpt.
The following piece appeared in an article on Le Metropole Cafe. I forgot who wrote it, it was either Bill Murphy or Chris Powell of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committe, of whom I'll be blogging more about when I can organize some blogs in a chronological educational manner. But for now, since I've been procrastinating posting my "definitive" account of the failure of Wall Street, I figured I'd just post this. I think it has enough dramatic pomp to please the reader. This was included in an email of mine to someone else dated 9/21/2008.
This past week was a disaster for markets worldwide. We came closer to a financial meltdown than any time since the Depression. Don't take my word for it, listen to Pres. Bush, Paulson, Bernanke, Cox, Dodd, Schumer, Gross, etc.. These are the same people who have been telling us all along that everything was just hunky dory. Remember Paulson, Bernanke, and Sheila Bair doing their media blitz and assuring anyone who would listen that the "banking system is sound" and "the financial system is strong"? That was just TWO WEEKS AGO during the Fannie and Freddie failures.
WOW! What happened? How could the whole system go from "sound" and "strong" to the verge of a meltdown in such a short period of time?
So what really happened? The Dow and S+P hardly went down this week so what's the big deal? The big deal is that the credit markets completely seized up, no one was lending, we had a $100+ Billion run on money markets, short Treasury rates went negative, Central banks were forced to pump half a Trillion Dollars into the system just to keep the doors open. Lehman Brothers failed, Merrill Lynch disappeared and AIG was saved by the government all within 3 days, this, the week after Fannie and Freddie were nationalized. How come no one told us 30 days ago that we had big enough problems that could threaten the entire system? No, no one from the government had anything other than BLATANT LIES for public consumption 30 days ago [actually 20]! Now we are told they have the answer, WE WILL ALL BE SAVED! They weren't telling the truth last month but now they are? Why? Because tomorrow is a new season? Because they planned to go to church today and will swear to God that if he spares them they "won't do it again"? NO! Because the game is over, they know it, we know it, and they know we know it. They have to tell us that all is well even though it isn't, as the TRUTH will cause THE panic of all time.
OK so here's the deal, we were one minute to midnight this past week. We know this because Wall Street and the government finally admitted that the system was imploding. But wait, now they have a plan, didn't they have a plan before? Treasury is going to wave its magic wand and buy up $700 Billion of "toxic mortgages" [their words not mine] and that will solve everything. $700 Billion is a lot of money no? NO!!! $700 Billion won't even scratch the surface of this problem, the derivative market is now over $1 Quadrillion. This is over one thousand TRILLION DOLLARS. The mortgage market in the US probably approaches $20 Trillion. This new "plan" will not do anything other than bail out institutions that ALREADY own toxic debt. It won't help me, and it won't help you make next months mortgage payment. All this does is buy time. How much? Who knows? It buys time until people realize that all the Treasury is doing is trying to prolong a system that has already broken down.
We already know that without government intervention this past week, the system would have imploded. Now the government wants to save the system with more of the same [more debt] so we can go back to living like we have in the past? Wasn't the way the system worked up until now just proven to be a failure? It felt good, it was fun, in some ways it was even easy. Of course it was all of this because we LIVED BEYOND OUR MEANS for years upon years! So now the Treasury will go out and borrow $Trillions [yes Trillions not Billions] more to fix a problem that was caused by living too large for too long in the first place.
But there is a big, fat fly in this ointment. In order for the magic wand to wave its magic powers, the Treasury has to have the ability to borrow these $ Trillions. For years now the US has not been able to fund it's own debt. We have gone across the globe to borrow the money necessary to live light years beyond our means.
Foreigners now know that we have not been entirely truthful about the status of various financial products we sold them, nor were we truthful about companies' prospects, economic numbers [inflation , money supply etc.] and the health of the entire system in general. Are foreigners now going to fall all over each other to line up and lend the Treasury more capital? I think not. I think not because the Treasury has already had it's debt downgraded in the CDS markets. The credit default swap rates on US Treasuries have more than doubled in the last month so that market has already made a judgment with negative bias. I can see big pressure on interest rates to rise because of this additional necessary debt. When rates rise for Treasury borrowings, I assure you mortgage rates will rise also. This cannot be good for the real estate markets.
Last but not least is the value of the Dollar. Let's assume this is only a $700 Billion magic wand [I assure you it will have to be more]. This is an additional $700 Billion of added money supply and added debt that goes into the system without the system expanding. The mathematical outcome of this action is a MUCH LOWER DOLLAR value. This is highly inflationary. Over the next sixty days or so the inflation volcano will surely spurt a few unpleasant and unintended consequences. Inflation of "things", the things we need to live our daily lives will explode. Even if $700 Billion is the correct number, US debt will expand 7%. So in one sense this amount of money is chicken feed as to the amount really needed, and on the other hand it is a huge amount based upon the Treasury's ability to borrow.
Actually all of the above will soon prove to be moot because a total collapse will stop the clock. Treasury will have a failed auction very shortly, let's do some math. Just over the last two weeks Treasury has announced spending of $100 Billion each for Fannie and Freddie, $85 Billion for AIG, extra $s for the Fed [because the Fed has run through it's balance sheet and now only has the ability to print], Lehman ?, FDIC will need $50 Billion, and the magic wand of a mere $700 Billion. So... that will come to ...over $1 Trillion! I don't know about you, but since we are broke we might as well spend the exta .69 cents and supersize it! The funding will not be there for US to borrow, all that remains now is Ben Bernanke's printing press. Monetization will become as common a phrase as "would you like to supersize that". Your only protection against monetizing the debt is a four letter word that the government wishes you didn't know.
These People Shouldn't Be Voting!!!
Can't we just shoot these people??? Please? Please??
You have to at least give them credit for knowing which one has a pregnant teenage daughter.
Saturday, November 15, 2008
Rahm Emanuel's Military Conscription Plan
Rahm Emanuel explains how to "fight against the spread of evil and totalitarianism.." by "expanding the U.S. army by 100,000 more troops..." through the process of creating a "new domestic counterterrorism force like Britain’s MI5" in his 2006 book The Plan: Big Ideas for America. On pages 61-62, he writes:
It’s time for a real Patriot Act that brings out the patriot in all of us. We propose universal civilian service for every young American. Under this plan, All Americans between the ages of eighteen and twenty-five will be asked to serve their country by going through three months of basic training, civil defense preparation and community service. …
Here’s how it would work. Young people will know that between the ages of eighteen and twenty-five, the nation will enlist them for three months of civilian service. They’ll be asked to report for three months of basic civil defense training in their state or community, where they will learn what to do in the event of biochemical, nuclear or conventional attack; how to assist others in an evacuation; how to respond when a levee breaks or we’re hit by a natural disaster. These young people will be available to address their communities’ most pressing needs.
This kind of military establishment harkens back to Soviet Russia's Stasi and Nazi Germany's Hitler Youth. And this is the "golden boy of the Democratic Party" who funded recruited candidates and placed them in office.
At the present moment Rahm Emanuel is the most powerful man in Washington, D.C. Barack Obama's campaign manager David Axelrod, Jewish Zionist, is Emanuel's long-term friend.
Articulated Starfish: Money, Banking, and the Federal Reserve
Friday, November 14, 2008
Tainted Lunch Meat : break time
Tainted Lunch Meat : 30 days to oblivion
1. So let's start from the top. With a progressive income tax, like we have, the wealthier citizens pay more taxes than the less wealthy citizens. If you cut out those revenues and offset that with a reduction in spending, the country is no worse for the wear, kinda, sorta. It depends on what spending is cut to match the lack of income tax revenues. Most poor people don't pay income tax. Money comes out of there paycheck but it can usually be recovered as a tax refund check later on. Most wealthy people however do pay income tax, so eliminating it would be great for them, inconsequential for poorer people. Cutting spending could hurt either set, depending on where the cuts are. If you cut social programs for the poor, then it's obvious who wins out in this situation. Maybe the spending cuts could be devised to adversely affect the people who most benefit from them no longer having to pay their fair share.
2.I really don't like the idea of a pay-to-play voting system. A lot of people could be priced out of civic participation almost instantly. Horrible idea, completely.
3.Being a poor person myself, I quite like public land, since I don't own any for myself. And seeing as how many landowners are far from generous in letting me or anyone else have free run of their property, public land needs to stay public, or I need to be rich, either way is good.
4. Again with the bad ideas. Workers need protection. The job market should be upwardly competitive, not a race to the bottom. There is always some jackass willing to do your job for less money than you. He may even do it better. The has to be a floor for wages. And it needs to be high enough that people can live off of it. If you reduce the minimum wage to zero, that's quite likely close to what employers will be willing to pay for the work.
5.Can't really see the benefit of having blind and deaf economic planners.
6.This really doesn't seem to be a burden on big business. They would love to have less regulation.
7.I don't know if prices of oil and gas would plummet. Those prices tend to not plummet, unless we're in the middle of an economic crisis. Of course, if this plan came to fruition, then maybe oil and gas prices do indeed plummet.
8.I wasn't aware competition was illegal. I could be reading this wrong.
9.There is a bit of a difference between HUD housing and "cheap, private, apartments". That difference is a substandard somewhat livable dwelling and a lean-to. I just cant imagine developers lining up to sell or rent cheap housing. The tenants quite likely won't take of the property and the margins and much thinner for profit.
10.I'm not entirely against the general concept of this step. But I think the gas tax can be priced so as to make the roadways just barely self sufficient.
11.This is just hateful. "Work or starve" really? So maybe it's not fair for some people to game the system. I'd still rather see them do that than die. And I'm completely tired of being told people should fall back on charity during hard times. We may be a generous population, but the government of the richest country in the world should be able and willing to take care of its less fortunate citizens.
12.You realise when they repealed the Glass-Steagall Act in 1999, that kind of led us to the meltdown we are seeing now. I can't see how further deregulation helps this in any way whatsoever.
13.I'll never have more than $100,000 in the bank, so alright, down with the FDIC, sure.
14.I like this step, actual asset based currency seems right to me.
15.The only way I'm flying is if I sprout wings, so yeah, I'm good on this step of the path to doom as well.
16.The post office is still cheaper than UPS, and it's not like FedEx is making UPS any cheaper, and DHL is going out of business apparently. Seems like some cartels are worth keeping.
17.Welfare farmers, well I laughed when I read that. "How's the harvest Clem?" "Little short on the welfare, but OK I reckon." That's what went through my mind. Anyways, yeah I'm good with this step too.
18.Really? Get rid of anti-trust laws? They barely save us from Vista as is. Seems like a terrible idea to me.
19.Again with the charities, somehow a cold, heartless government will lead to a kind, caring populace. I don't know, sounds risky, and again an assault on the poor, who may or may not be able to afford private education.
20.Why on earth would you want to sell the Federal Monuments? I like them, I can't afford to buy my own, but I like them all the same. Bad idea. Mt. Rushmore on Ebay FAIL.
21.Now this is something I can get behind. As a late adopter of cell phones, I'm a bit of a Luddite. Data bases are indeed evil. Good idea here.
22.Another idea that just strikes me as hateful. Unpopular minorities need protection, otherwise the tyranny of the mob will oppress them(I'm looking at you California).
23.Yeah, cause you know, of course you can win a legal battle against huge companies over pollution. Their enormous legal budget would absolutely not have any impact on the outcome of the trial. Surely if some evil polluter were dragged in front of a judge, your bargain bin lawyer could totally take 'em to the cleaners. Right. Moving on.
24.I don't even understand what this step means.
25.I'm glad we didn't move to privatize Social Security last year. That may have been painful after watching the Dow shed 4000 + points over the last few months.
26.Leave the NEA alone.
27.I can live with cutting off foreign aid.
28.I'm for it, I like guns. Good idea.
29.I'm down with this one too. Close down most of the 700+ military bases we have all around the world. The empire needs to be over.
30.Good idea, can't wait to get me that discounted Honda Civic.
Exhilarating indeed.
Is I.O.U.S.A. Documentary a Fraud?
There's an independent documentary film that has been produced and presented to the Sundance Film Festival called I.O.U.S.A. and I just read a scathing critique about how it is more fraud than truth.
I'm going to provide you the link to the trailer to this documentary so you can at least understand the dramatic hype appeal it has generated.
And here follows the film review, written by Doug French.
The American empire, like the Roman one, is heading for a fall, and an out-of-control government deficit is one of the reasons. However, destruction by deficit is not fait accompli, if Peter Peterson, David Walker and the Concord Coalition have anything to do about it. Peterson and Walker like their government after all. Peterson was United States Secretary of Commerce and Chairman of the Council on Foreign Relations, and is the Senior Chairman of the politically connected private equity firm, Blackstone Group. Walker was Comptroller General of the United States and head of the General Accounting Office. The Concord Coalition is an organization founded by the late former Sens. Paul Tsongas (D-Mass.) and Warren Rudman (R-N.H.), along with Peterson. Concord added former Sen. Bob Kerrey (D-Neb.) in 2002.
Not exactly a confederation of anarcho-capitalists.
I had high hopes for the documentary film I.O.U.S.A., because it was conceived of, co-written and executive produced by Agora Financial’s Addison Wiggin, co-author with Bill Bonner of the excellent book Empire of Debt. When the movie finally started, the opening credits even indicated that the documentary was based on the book. I wish.
Bonner and Wiggin wrote that the purpose of empire was “to show that the United States is headed for trouble.” And, “their burden is only to show that the people making important policy decisions are morons and frauds.” I.O.U.S.A. shows that the United States is in trouble all right, but instead of politicians and central bankers being outed as crooks and mountebanks, the likes of Bill Clinton and Paul Volker are treated as heroes. Ex-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan is made to look like an idiot by Ron Paul in one clip and by comedian Jon Stewart in another, yet the filmmakers continually go back for sound bites from him and ex-Fed governor Alice Rivlin as authority figures. The film even claimed that one Federal Reserve mandate is to keep inflation low. Good grief, the Fed creates inflation.
Empire of Debt cited gold 23 times, government debt 19 times and David Walker only once, Stephen Fairfax noted on the LewRockwell.com blog. But the movie made no mention of gold and makes David Walker out to be the nation’s savior. I.O.U.S.A. is essentially a buddy-movie with Walker and Concord’s Executive Director Robert Bixby hitting the road to alarm Americans into holding their elected officials accountable. So there are plenty of scenes in the car, in the banquet rooms and being interviewed by local TV stations that don’t air their story.
Interspersed amongst these action sequences are person-on-the-street interviews that make the point that the average Joe and Jane don’t know or care about the goings on with the government budget.
If billionaire Warren Buffett has his way, the great unwashed and uninformed will pay the $12.50 they saved by not seeing the movie to the government in taxes. After I.O.U.S.A. concluded, CNBC’s Squawk Box honey Becky Quick moderated a panel of wise ones live from Omaha, led by Tout TV’s favorite guru, Buffett. The panel assured everyone that government Ponzi-scheme Social Security would be there when they retire. The Cato Institutes’ freedom-loving chairman William Niskanen even thinks people should be forced to save for retirement. Bill Novelli, CEO of AARP, believes the five guys on the panel could solve all of the country’s problems. And more than one panelist blamed everything on partisanship in Washington. If our representatives in this great republic could just learn to get along, everything will work out fine, was the claim. After all, America has faced greater challenges and triumphed.
But by far the most annoying was the Omaha Oracle, who continually piped in that the budget deficits aren’t that big a deal, but that trade deficits are, and that future generations of Americans will live better than the present generation, as long as Americans will pay enough in taxes to keep this good American thing going. We are lucky to be born here, according to Buffett, but he is unhappy that he pays a lower tax rate than his cleaning lady. No doubt she is, too.
The main message of the film – that, by the way, was purchased by The Peter G. Peterson Foundation last month – is that all of this debt will “swamp our ship of state,” and that the trade deficit will lead to less leverage in matters overseas. So, pay more taxes, and urge your congressman to decrease government spending.
Instead, moviegoers should spend their time reading Wiggins and Bonner’s book, buying gold and avoiding taxes.
http://www.lewrockwell.com/french/french96.html
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Lew Rockwell's Thirty Day Plan

by Llewellyn H. Rockwell, Jr.
As America comes to resemble a command economy, we need a transition plan here too. Yuri Maltsev proposed a "One-Year Plan" for the U.S.S.R. We're not in that bad a shape (yet), so we could do it in 30 days.